Betting on Underdogs vs Favourites: Maximising Value in Sports Betting

3 July 2023

Sports betting has always been a thrilling activity that combines a passion for sports with the opportunity to make some extra money. Regarding betting on sports, two primary categories emerge underdogs and favourites. Understanding the dynamics between these categories is essential for bettors looking to make informed decisions.

In this article, we will explore the advantages, risks, and strategies associated with betting on underdogs and favourites, helping you maximise value in your sports betting endeavours.

Understanding Underdogs and Favorites

In the realm of sports betting, underdogs are teams or individuals who are expected to lose a match or event. Conversely, favourites are those considered most likely to win.

Bookmakers assign odds to each side, reflecting their perceived probability of winning. These odds directly influence potential payouts.

Advantages of Betting on Underdogs

Betting on underdogs can present unique advantages for astute bettors. While the odds may be stacked against them, underdogs have the potential to yield significant returns. This is especially true when unexpected upsets occur, catching bookmakers and bettors off guard.

By identifying undervalued underdogs and capitalising on their potential, bettors can enjoy substantial payouts.

Factors to Consider When Betting on Underdogs

Betting on underdogs requires careful analysis. Factors such as team dynamics, injuries, recent performances, and historical data play a crucial role. By delving into these aspects, bettors can assess the underdog’s true potential and make informed decisions.

Paying attention to matchups, playing styles, and motivational factors can help identify situations where underdogs have a higher chance of success.

Risks of Betting on Underdogs

While betting on underdogs offers attractive rewards, it is not without risks. Underdogs are less likely to win for a reason, and betting on them blindly can result in losses.

It’s important to consider factors such as skill disparities, unfavourable matchups, or underdog teams lacking consistency. Evaluating the odds and weighing the risks against potential rewards is vital for maintaining a balanced betting strategy.

Advantages of Betting on Favorites

Betting on favourites may lack the allure of big payouts, but it offers its own advantages. Favourites are favoured for a reason—they are more likely to win. Betting on favourites can provide a sense of reliability, especially when backed by extensive research.

Additionally, favourites often offer more predictable outcomes, making them appealing to those seeking a safer approach.

Factors to Consider When Betting on Favorites

When considering a bet on favourites, understanding the odds and potential returns is crucial. In cases where favourites have overwhelming odds, the potential payout may be less attractive.

Bettors should assess the risk-to-reward ratio and look for situations where favourites offer reasonable odds with decent returns. Evaluating recent performances, team form, and head-to-head records can help identify favourites worth considering.

Risks of Betting on Favorites

While favourites are expected to win, upsets can and do occur in sports. Overconfidence in favourites can lead to complacency, and unexpected results can significantly impact bettors.

Factors such as injuries, external distractions, or underestimating the underdog’s determination can undermine the favourite’s chances. Awareness of these risks and exercising caution when betting on favourites is essential.

Finding the Right Betting Strategy

Rather than favouring one extreme over the other, finding a balanced betting strategy is often the most effective approach. Combining bets on underdogs and favourites strategically can optimise the risk-to-reward ratio.

By identifying value opportunities in both categories, bettors can maximise their chances of success. Experimenting, adapting strategies, and learning from past experiences will contribute to refining a personalised betting approach.

Case Studies: Underdogs vs Favorites

To illustrate the dynamics between underdogs and favourites, let’s consider some case studies. We’ll examine memorable upsets where underdogs triumphed against all odds and explore situations where favourites justified their status.

By dissecting these scenarios and analysing the factors involved, we can glean valuable insights into our own betting strategies.


Betting on underdogs and favourites each carries its own set of advantages and risks. Understanding the intricacies of these categories is essential for informed decision-making in sports betting.

By conducting thorough research, assessing probabilities, and finding a balanced betting strategy, bettors can increase their chances of success. Remember, sports betting is a dynamic endeavour, and adapting to changing circumstances is key to long-term profitability.

Author Morten

After being a recreational gambler for over 10 years, my professional gambling career started at LeoVegas in January 2019. I am now Head of SEO & Content at Casinogrounds, responsible for what you read on,, and